Mayweather v. Pacquiao Prediction
May 1, 2015
There is hope, among the angry majority of fans who want Manny Pacquiao to win, that he’ll somehow be quicker and stronger and more precise than ever and force heretofore unflappable Floyd Mayweather into a brawl and punish the bejeweled king they’ve long wanted to see dethroned. Don’t wager heavily on that sequence. Floyd is larger, stronger, quicker, faster, more adaptable and elusive than Manny, who’d have a slightly better chance if both were much younger junior welterweights. Instead, they’re aging welterweights, but no one need yearn for what might have been. The result would’ve been the same at any juncture. Manny won’t hit Floyd often, and Floyd will hit him frequently, or at least more often, and win a unanimous decision. Since nothing is certain in the ring, let’s say there’s a seventy percent chance of Floyd earning a decision, and ten percent that Manny will eat a Floyd counter right, as he did in his fourth fight with Juan Manuel Marquez, and twenty that Manny could win a decision. There’s no realistic chance he’ll knock out Floyd.